Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000131 0.000144 0.000158 0.000174 0.000191 0.000211 0.000233
2025-11-02 0.000104 0.000122 0.000144 0.000170 0.000203 0.000241 0.000290
2025-11-09 0.000088 0.000109 0.000136 0.000170 0.000215 0.000271 0.000348
2025-11-16 0.000077 0.000099 0.000128 0.000167 0.000222 0.000294 0.000399
2025-11-23 0.000067 0.000090 0.000120 0.000163 0.000225 0.000311 0.000444
2025-11-30 0.000062 0.000085 0.000117 0.000166 0.000237 0.000341 0.000509
2025-12-07 0.000058 0.000082 0.000116 0.000169 0.000250 0.000374 0.000582
2025-12-14 0.000053 0.000076 0.000111 0.000165 0.000253 0.000390 0.000631
2025-12-21 0.000048 0.000070 0.000104 0.000159 0.000250 0.000398 0.000666
2025-12-28 0.000045 0.000067 0.000102 0.000160 0.000258 0.000423 0.000735
2026-01-04 0.000042 0.000065 0.000100 0.000161 0.000267 0.000451 0.000811
2026-01-11 0.000039 0.000062 0.000097 0.000159 0.000269 0.000467 0.000868
2026-01-18 0.000037 0.000059 0.000095 0.000160 0.000278 0.000497 0.000958
2026-01-25 0.000035 0.000056 0.000092 0.000158 0.000282 0.000518 0.001034
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000054 0.000090 0.000157 0.000289 0.000546 0.001130
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000051 0.000087 0.000155 0.000291 0.000566 0.001209
2026-02-15 0.000028 0.000048 0.000083 0.000151 0.000290 0.000578 0.001274
2026-02-22 0.000027 0.000047 0.000082 0.000153 0.000301 0.000618 0.001412
2026-03-01 0.000026 0.000046 0.000082 0.000156 0.000315 0.000663 0.001571
2026-03-08 0.000025 0.000044 0.000079 0.000153 0.000315 0.000679 0.001658
2026-03-15 0.000023 0.000041 0.000075 0.000148 0.000309 0.000680 0.001704
2026-03-22 0.000022 0.000040 0.000074 0.000148 0.000317 0.000715 0.001852
2026-03-29 0.000021 0.000039 0.000074 0.000149 0.000325 0.000753 0.002015